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Home Policy Articles: Monetary & Capital Management: Exchange Rates

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Counting the Cost: Impact of the Rising Loonie on Western Commodity Exports

The strong rise in the Canadian dollar vis-à-vis the US dollar since the beginning of 2002 has created a serious challenge for many businesses that rely on international exports. According to Todd Hirsch, because the Canadian economy is so dependent on exports, the soaring loonie has led most economic forecasters to revise real GDP growth downward in 2004.
http://www.cwf.ca/abcalcwf/doc.nsf/(Publications)/A1ECE16EAE...

Monetary Convergence between Canada and the United States: A Critique of the Official View

This brief report serves as the introduction to Mapping the New North American Reality, a series of brief articles written by Canadian, American, and Mexican policy experts exploring the nature of North American economic integration.
http://www.irpp.org/miscpubs/archive/NA_integ/wp2004-09m.pdf...

Preserving Control: Canada and the International Market for Corporate Acquisitions

This article by Shay Aba and Jack M. Mintz focuses on the effect, or non-effect, of a declining Canadian dollar and how it pertains to company takeovers. Contrary to expectations, the authors find that a lower Canadian dollar does not necessarily lead to a drastic increase in foreign takeovers of Canadian companies, nor does it significantly alter the appetite of Canadian firms for foreign companies – despite a concomitant decrease in purchasing power.
http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/aba_mintz_backgrounder.pdf

The Impact of the Appreciation of the Dollar on the Canadian Economy

In January 2004, the Public Policy Forum hosted a dinner and roundtable to discuss the economic impact of the Canadian dollar’s recent appreciation. This report, prepared by Nicole Murphy and Yves Poisson, summarizes the ideas discussed at that roundtable.
http://www.ppforum.com/common/assets/publications/en/ow_p_Do...

The Real Reasons for the Canadian Dollar’s Power Trip – And What Not To Do About It

In this e-brief, Guillemette, Laidler and Robson argue that the immediate causes of the Canadian dollar’s rise in value can be attributed to: buoyant world demand for Canadian exports, and the general depreciation of the U.S. dollar. They point out there are calls for the authorities to do something to hold down the dollar’s rise, to fix the exchange rate, or even to abandon the dollar altogether for some kind of North American currency union. They argue, however, that these reactions are misplaced.
http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/ebrief_8.pdf